| CPC E21B 44/00 (2013.01) [E21B 47/00 (2013.01); E21B 49/00 (2013.01); G01V 20/00 (2024.01); E21B 2200/20 (2020.05); E21B 2200/22 (2020.05)] | 20 Claims |

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1. A method, comprising:
receiving user parameters and input parameters at a processor, wherein the input parameters are received from one or more sensors located at a borehole undergoing a drilling operation;
calculating a weighted probability for each event parameter of a drilling operation event as indicated in the input parameters, where the weighted probability includes a trend of the event parameter over a time interval, and a weighting for the weighted probability is specified in the user parameters;
applying hydraulic data and an event probability model to the weighted probability for each respective event parameter using a first derivative calculation of the event probability model versus a corresponding drilling parameter derived over the time interval, wherein the event probability model is a previously learned data model to provide a comparison or a weighting to the weighted probability for each event parameter;
generating results, using the processor, by using the weighted probability, as modified in the applying step, for each respective event parameter and the trend wherein the results determine a potential for the drilling operation event to occur and an estimated time period for the drilling operation event to occur; and
altering, using the results, rotations per minute, rate of penetration, or drill string torque of a drilling assembly thereby reducing the potential for the drilling operation event to occur over the estimated time period.
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