US 12,079,309 B2
Forecast revision
Michael Bartling, Austin, TX (US)
Assigned to Arm Limited, Cambridge (GB)
Filed by Arm Limited, Cambridge (GB)
Filed on Dec. 22, 2021, as Appl. No. 17/559,246.
Prior Publication US 2023/0195846 A1, Jun. 22, 2023
Int. Cl. G06F 17/00 (2019.01); A61B 5/145 (2006.01); G06F 11/34 (2006.01); G06F 17/18 (2006.01); G06F 18/21 (2023.01); G06Q 30/0202 (2023.01); A61B 5/02 (2006.01); A61B 5/24 (2021.01); G06F 16/906 (2019.01); G06N 20/00 (2019.01); G06Q 30/02 (2023.01); G06V 10/774 (2022.01)
CPC G06F 18/2193 (2023.01) [A61B 5/14532 (2013.01); G06F 11/3409 (2013.01); G06F 11/3452 (2013.01); G06F 17/00 (2013.01); G06F 17/18 (2013.01); G06Q 30/0202 (2013.01)] 18 Claims
OG exemplary drawing
 
1. A data processing apparatus to improve upon data comprising:
forecast circuitry configured to generate a forecast of an aspect of a system for a next future time and for one or more subsequent future times following the next future time;
measurement circuitry configured to generate, at the next future time, a new measurement of the aspect of the system;
aggregation circuitry configured to produce an aggregation by aggregating
the forecast of the aspect of the system for the next future time and
the new measurement of the aspect of the system;
residual calculation circuitry configured to calculate residuals of the forecast of the aspect of the system for the next future time and for the one or more subsequent future times following the next future time; and
confidence interval generation circuitry configured to generate, for each forecast of the aspect of the system and for the one or more subsequent future times following the next future time, confidence intervals based on the residuals;
wherein the forecast circuitry is configured to update the forecast of the aspect of the system for the one or more subsequent future times using the aggregation; and
wherein the confidence intervals are generated so as to encompass forecasts whose residuals fall within a predefined percentile.