| CPC H04B 10/0791 (2013.01) [H04B 10/07 (2013.01); H04B 10/0793 (2013.01); H04Q 2011/0083 (2013.01)] | 17 Claims |

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1. An optical communication system comprising:
an optical transmission line constituting an optical network;
a plurality of terminal stations comprising one or more transponders and configured to communicate via the optical transmission line;
a plurality of failure cause estimators respectively provided in and corresponding to the plurality of terminal stations, wherein each failure cause estimator is configured to
monitor a state of the one or more transponders in a corresponding terminal station, and
estimate a failure probability for each candidate location where a suspected failure occurrence; and
a failure analyzer configured to estimate a location where there is a failure risk occurrence and a failure probability at the location, based on failure probability estimation results of the plurality of failure cause estimators.
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