CPC G06Q 10/06313 (2013.01) [A01B 79/005 (2013.01); G06Q 10/06 (2013.01); G06Q 50/02 (2013.01)] | 18 Claims |
1. A method for evaluating uncultivated land for crop land production using crop modeling, the method comprising:
(a) receiving weather data for an uncultivated land plot that has not been cultivated with grown and harvested crop plants within the last 5 years, the weather data comprising at least one of historical weather data and projected weather data for the land plot;
(b) receiving soil data for the land plot;
(c) receiving two or more crop management parameters for the land plot, the crop management parameters comprising a crop plant for the land plot and at least one other different crop management parameter for the land plot;
(d) determining (i) a predicted yield and (ii) a predicted environmental final field state property for the crop plant on the land plot using a crop model, the weather data, the soil data, and the crop management parameters for the land plot, wherein the predicted yield and the predicted environmental final field state property for the crop plant comprise distributions based on the different crop management parameters for the land plot, wherein the environmental final field state property is selected from the group consisting of nutrient leaching, greenhouse gas emission, soil organic content loss, soil erosion, and combinations thereof;
(e) performing a risk determination whether the land plot would be agriculturally productive while limiting the environmental final field state property if the crop plant were planted, grown, and harvested according to crop management parameters selected from the distributions, wherein the crop management parameters are selected to (i) optimize one or more of crop plant yield, crop plant quality, and crop plant marginal net return, and (ii) limit one or more of nutrient leaching, greenhouse gas emission, soil organic content loss, and soil erosion; and
(f) planting, growing, and harvesting the crop plant on the land plot according to the two or more crop management parameters selected from the distributions in part (e) to (i) optimize one or more of crop plant yield, crop plant quality, and crop plant marginal net return, and (ii) limit one or more of nutrient leaching, greenhouse gas emission, soil organic content loss, and soil erosion, if the risk determination indicates that the land plot would be agriculturally productive while limiting the environmental final field state property if the crop plant were planted, grown, and harvested according to crop management parameters.
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